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วันจันทร์ที่ 28 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2551

Forex Technical Analysis - Why it Works and How You Can Make Bigger Profits

Forex Technical Analysis - Why it Works and How You Can Make Bigger Profits

by Monica Hendrix


Many traders don't understand how and why forex technical analysis works and base there trading systems on wrong assumptions and lose. Here we will show the advantages of forex charts and how you can make big profits from them.
1. The Equation for Market Movement

The equation is simple

Market Fundamentals + Human perception of = Price.

Its humans that decide the price of anything and that includes currency prices.

As human nature is constant this is reflected in chart patterns which repeat and repeat again. The fundamental news is not important by itself, its how it is perceived that determines the course of events.

Forex technical analysis simply assumes all the fundamentals will quickly show up in price action and more importantly, the forex charts will tell you how all the traders have perceived them.

You are viewing the truth on a forex chart no guessing or predicting is needed, you are seeing the reality of the market price.

2. Forex Trend Following

Forex prices move in trends up or down and as the currency markets reflect the health of the economy they represent, these trends can last for weeks, months or even years.

A forex chartist doesn't care how or why prices are moving, they simply want to lock into these trends and make money from them.

3. A Game of Odds Not Certainties

Many people think prices move to some mysterious scientific theory - but they don't and there is no way of predicting where prices will go. If of course there were a scientific theory of forex market movement, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market!

When you trade forex you are simply trading the odds - but don't let that put you off, you can make a lot of money. You're like a good poker player who passes hands by, folds losing ones and hits the big paying high odds hands.

Your trade is your hand and you should be patient, to wait for the right opportunities and not be afraid to fold or pass a trade by, until you get the right opportunity.

4. Best Time Frames

The best time frames are the big trends which last for weeks and months and the overbought / oversold areas within the trend which, last for few days to a week.

Never day trade! This is huge mistake made by many traders. All short term volatility is random and you will never win so don't try it.

You can however swing trade or long term trend follow, it's a matter of choice which method you choose - both work.

5. Choosing Your Indicators

Start by using support and resistance lines and learn a breakout methodology, its timeless and it works and is covered in our other articles. Then, just add a few indicators to help you confirm your trades and your all set.

Forex technical analysis can make you a lot of money if used correctly and this means

- Acting on the reality of price change not predicting

- Using simple robust rule based system

- Being patent and only trading high odds trades

- Controlling losses with rigid money management.

When using forex technical analysis, you have a time efficient way to seek huge profits from the markets and if you can get yourself a simple rule based system which trades the reality of price change and locks into and holds trends, you can make outstanding gains.

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