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แสดงบทความที่มีป้ายกำกับ Forex Signals แสดงบทความทั้งหมด
แสดงบทความที่มีป้ายกำกับ Forex Signals แสดงบทความทั้งหมด

วันอาทิตย์ที่ 20 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2551

A Introduction to Forex Signals

A Introduction to Forex Signals

by Michael Saunders - Bruised Onion Guide


Forex Signals, also known as 'technical indicators', are data points used in the prediction of currency movements. This article will examine three of the most popular forex signals in use today.
Signal #1: Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI indicator measures the ratio of upwards to downwards movements on the market, and the result is normalized to a range between 0-100.

.When an instrument, such as a currency pair, moves to 70 or greater on the RSI, the instrument is said to be 'over bought'. Likewise, when a currency pair moves to 30 or below on the RSI, it is said to be 'over sold'.

So, the Relative Strength Index is essentially a broad measurement of market demand for a given currency. Keep in mind, however, that spikes and drops may occur for any number of reasons, and do not necessarily indicate the development of a trend.

Relative Strength is useful in spot trading and some mid-range strategies, but it is not the only indicator to watch, particularly if you intend to employ long-range holding strategies.

Signal #2: Stochastic Oscillators (SO)

Charts derived from Stochastic oscillations are also used to indicate 'over bought' and 'over sold' conditions for currencies on the exchange market. These conditions are typically expressed on a percentage scale from 0-100%.

The S.O. scale method was derived from historical observation of market phenomena centered around closing trades. It was observed that - during the period towards closing - both the upwards and downwards trends in conditions tend to congregate towards the extreme ends of the scale.

These Buying and Selling conditions are charted using two lines: %K and %D. A divergence between these lines against the price action of a currency is a strong trading signal.

Signal #3: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

This signal plots two lines of movement: the MACD line, and the signal/trigger line.

The MACD line represents the difference between two, exponential moving averages and the signal line -- which is the exponential moving average of that difference. This is a tricky concept to grasp, so let's look at MACD as an equation.


We'll let each exponential moving average be represented by EMA-0, EMA-1, EMA-2, etc..

The Signal Line, then, is equal to: EMA (EMA0 - EMA-1... + ...EMA-2 - EMA-3...+..) and so on.

Basically, the signal line is reflecting the exponential moving average of moving averages over time, such that:

Signal Line = EMA (EMA-0 minus EMA-1), and..

The MACD line = (EMA0-EMA1) - signal line.

The MACD and Signal Lines are charted around a 'Zero' line, the extreme limits of which represent 'slow MACD movement' and 'fast MACD movement', respectively. Whenever the MACD and Signal Lines cross, it is an indicator that a change in trend is likely.

This wraps up our look at three of the most popular Forex signals. They are by no means the only ones. Some of the other, more technically complex signals includes indicators derived from Gann numbers and Elliot Wave theory.

The good news is that you don't have to be a math whiz to make use of these indicators, as there are plenty of commercial software solutions on the market.

วันเสาร์ที่ 5 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2551

Can You be Successful Forex Trading?

Can You be Successful Forex Trading?

by Rick Williamson


Let's talk about foreign exchange trading. It is the largest market in the world. It is larger than the stock market. Let's take a closer look. Trillions of dollars are traded every day. In the early days, banks, world wide companies and wealthy speculators traded foreign exchange.Today with the growth of the internet and online brokerages, the currency exchange market has exploded so that anyone with a computer who can sit down to trade.

Currencies traded are the US dollar, the Eurodollar, the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc and the British pound. These are expressed in pairs. One of the pair is bought and one of the pair is sold. A person with a computer and internet connection and some knowledge of this market can buy or sell these pairs through a brokerage. These brokerages have real time currency prices, charting features, instant execution and real time news and features.

There are many reasons to trade currency. Banks and large world wide companies trade as a function of doing international business. Speculators trade to make money. In 1992, a well known speculator made a billion dollars in one day trading the pound against the dollar. Maybe we all can not do that but there is money to be made trading currency. A person needs some time, some knowledge and the internet.

A person becomes interested as they spend time with this market. It can be an exciting venture. Most brokerages supply a "fake money" account so you can practice trading without losing money. When you become comfortable, move into the into real money and real profits. Happy trading.

วันอังคารที่ 1 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2551

Forex Day Trading - The Most Important Fact You Need to Know

Forex Day Trading - The Most Important Fact You Need to Know

by kelly Price


If you are considering forex day trading, there is one fact you need to know above all others and its enclosed in this article.

The fact is that if you try it the odds are you will lose your money and lose it quickly.

Why?

Because all volatility within such a short space as a day is random and support and resistance levels are meaningless and you will may as well flip a coin. Of course if you think about it its obvious why:

You have millions of traders trading trillions of dollars each day and this mass of people and what they do cannot be measured in such a short time span as a day or less.

You will see a lot of day trading systems on the net and they all claim to make money - but there is a problem - none of them do, because none of them have been traded.

They all produce a track record in hindsight knowing the closing prices!

Well that's hard - if we all knew tomorrows price today we would all be rich but forex trading is not that simple. Whenever you see a day trading or forex scalping system with a track record look at the disclaimer and you will normally see the one below or a similar one:

"cftc rule 4.41 - hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".

Of course if you put this disclaimer on you can say anything you like and many vendors do. They know the system wont make money (that's why they have the good sense to not trade it themselves) better to sell it and make a guaranteed income by appealing to naive and greedy investors.

Day trading is a good story but that's all it is and it doesn't work in practice. I quite like Harry Potter as a story but I don't think I can fly!

If you want to make money in forex trading understand one key point:

You need to use data that allows you to calculate the odds and that means swing trading or long term trend following - where the data can be used to help you time your trading signal and enjoy long term currency trading success.

If you want to day trade the odds are not on your side and you will lose and if you don't believe me try and find a day trading system with a track record audited of trades and profit and loss and you simply won't get one

Forex Trading System - Beware of This When Choosing One!

Forex Trading System - Beware of This When Choosing One!

by kelly Price


There are a lot of forex trading systems for sale and most are junk. You can find out if a system is likely to make you money by looking at one key factor which is the subject of this article.

Let me ask a question first:

Would you take driving lessons from someone who hadn't past their test?

Of course you wouldn't!

With forex trading systems however traders buy systems that have never been traded and then wonder why they lose. If you are looking for a forex trading system online they will all give you a track record that's profitable. However the way to discard 95% or more of them is - to look for the disclaimer below or similar one - read it carefully:

"cftc rule 4.41 - hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".

What this means is that a vendor can publish or make up any track record he likes knowing the closing prices and simply put this disclaimer on it. Most traders never question it - buy the system lose and then wonder why they didn't experience the same gains as the track record.

If you are looking for a forex trading system then always be cautious when you see the above disclaimer - you have to ask yourself the question:

If the vendor has not had the confidence to trade it why should you?

This is a very valid point and you need to use common sense.

In forex trading to many people are blinded by greed and see forex as an easy way to riches but of course with the rewards on offer its not that simple. You can make a lot of money but you need to get the right forex education.

The Route to Currency Trading Success

Forex trading requires you to do your homework - no one is going to make you rich only you can do that, so seek out sensible down to earth advice and learn it yourself and you can build your own forex trading system - which we will cover in our next article.

วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 13 ธันวาคม พ.ศ. 2550

Forex Signals: The Easiest Way to Trade Currencies

Forex Signals: The Easiest Way to Trade Currencies

by Ryan Lee


The forex market can be pretty intimidating to a new trader. After all, it is the domain of multi-billion-dollar banks and foreign governments -- how can a small retail trader compete? Well, forex signals are one way to help level the playing field.

Forex signals are alerts that are sent to you, usually via email or SMS text message, when the conditions are ripe for a currency trade. Or, even better, you can sign up for an automated service that will automatically make trades for you when your preferred forex signals are triggered.

Forex signals services rely on forex signals software -- computer programs that constantly monitor the foreign exchange markets for high-probability forex signals. Most forex signals services rely on "technical data" from currency charts to identify conditions that have historically led to profitable trades. Although you don't absolutely need to understand the data behind forex signals, a little basic knowledge can help you get the most out of your forex signals service.

One way to better understand forex signals is to download currency charting software. Although there are many programs that are quite expensive, MetaTrader is a free one that works well for most forex signals applications.

Whatever forex software you use, it must be able to plot currency prices in "candlestick" format. This allows you to easily see the opening, closing, high, and low prices of a currency pair for a given time period -- daily, hourly, or even minutely! Viewing prices this way, you can see patterns that emerge with "support" and "resistance."

Support can be thought of as a "floor"; a price level which the currency seems to hit and then bounce back up. Resistance is like a "ceiling"; the price level at which the currency seems to reach its limit, and then drifts back down. But once a currency pierces through either the support or resistance, it is likely to fall or rise a substantial amount until it finds a new "floor" or "ceiling". Breaking through support or resistance is one of the best forex signals.

If you have a knack for examining charts, or you just like to do it, that's great. But the reality is that in order to profit from high-probability forex trades, you need to react to data more quickly than manual chart analysis will allow. This is why forex signals services are the busy trader's best friend, and automated trading programs are the very-busy trader's better friend! It helps to understand the science behind forex signals, but it isn't vital. What is vital is a quality service that notifies you when it's time to make a trade -- or better yet, makes the trade for you!

There are many competing services out there, so be sure to do your homework and check the company's performance data. Reputable service providers will have it linked from their home page.

Free Online Forex Trading Information